Kwiikota ezintathu zokuqala, uqoqosho olukhulu lwangaphakathi lwalusebenza kakuhle, kungekuphela nje ukuphumeza injongo yokufika kwindawo ethambileyo, kodwa nokugcina umgaqo-nkqubo wemali ophilileyo nokuphumeza yonke imigaqo-nkqubo yohlengahlengiso lwezakhiwo, izinga lokukhula kwe-GDP liye labuyela kancinane. . Idatha ibonisa ukuba ngo-Agasti 2017, ixabiso elongezelelweyo lamashishini ngaphezu kwesikali liye lanyuka ngo-6.0% ngonyaka, kwaye ukususela ngoJanuwari ukuya ku-Agasti, ixabiso elongezelelweyo lamashishini ngaphezu kwesikali linyuke nge-6.7% ngonyaka. Ngokubanzi, izinga lokukhula kwemveliso yokusetyenziswa kwamandla aphezulu kushishino lokuvelisa amandla liye lehla, kodwa ishishini lobugcisa obuphezulu kunye nezixhobo zokuvelisa izixhobo zigcina izinga lokukhula ngokukhawuleza, kwaye utyalo-mali olufanelekileyo lukwanyusa ukuhamba kumashishini asakhulayo. Izinga lohlumo lotyalo-mali kwizinto ezintsha nakwizinto ezintsha liqhubekile nokukhula, ngotshintsho lwemizi-mveliso kunye nophuculo, uqoqosho lwase-China lwakhawulezisa inguqu yamandla amatsha namatsha ekinetic.

Kwishishini lemichiza, imilinganiselo ethile yomgaqo-nkqubo wokongamela ukukhuselwa kwendalo iphunyezwa ngokupheleleyo, kwaye amandla angasemva ahlanjululwe ngokupheleleyo, kwaye ukuchuma kwamanye amashishini kuye kwabuyiselwa. Ukongeza, ukukhula kwemfuno kwiinkalo ezivelayo kuyabonakala. Kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka, ngenxa yokulungiswa rhoqo kwamandla oshishino, izinga lokuqalisa kunye nexabiso, inzuzo yamashishini iphuculwe ngokuqhubekayo. Kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka, inkqubo emnyama yamkelwe Imarike yenkomo eyenziwe yimveliso imele ukuphuculwa okupheleleyo kokusebenza kweshishini ukuze kuphumelele imeko enhle kwishishini ngokujika kwelahleko edibeneyo kunye nenkxaso yomjikelo we-inventri.

Nangona kunjalo, ukungena kwixesha eliphakamileyo lemfuno yemveli ye-jinjiuyin 10 kwishishini lemichiza, imeko yentengiso ayonelisi. Ngenxa yokunqongophala kweembalasane ezicacileyo ekukhuleni kwemfuno yangaphakathi, uqhwithela lomgaqo-nkqubo wokhuselo lokusingqongileyo luthe tyaba, kwaye izinga lokuqalisa kwamanye amashishini liye lachacha ngokuthe ngcembe kwaye belikwinqanaba eliphezulu kwiminyaka edlulileyo. Nangona kunjalo, akukho ukwanda okubalulekileyo kokusetyenziswa kwangempela. Ngoko ke, iimveliso ezimnyama zinezokuqala zokukhokela kwimarike ye-plunge, kodwa ishishini livulekile Ireyithi yomsebenzi isephezulu, kwaye kunokwenzeka ukuba ingene kumjikelezo wokususwa kwe-inventory kwakhona. Ke ngoko, ukufudumeza okugqithisileyo kwamanye amashishini kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka kuya kulungelelaniswa ngakumbi emva kokungena kwikota yesine, nto leyo engabangeli ukucaca komthamo wemveliso ngasemva, kwaye kusenokwenzeka ukuba iziphumo zenqanaba lonikezelo lwesakhiwo sobume. uhlengahlengiso luya kusilela. Ngoko ke, imboni yeekhemikhali kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka ikwinqanaba "lokupholisa". Iqamza lazo zonke iintlobo zentelekelelo “yengcamango” iya kugaywa yimarike ngokwayo.

Ukusuka kwimekobume yangaphandle, ukuncipha kwesikali sase-US kulindeleke ukuba kuqhubeke ukomelela, kodwa umfutho wokwenene wokubuyisela uqoqosho usenobuthathaka, umngcipheko wempembelelo kuqoqosho olusahlumayo usahleli, kunye neminye imimandla emikhulu yorhwebo lwangaphandle njengeYurophu ijongene nokuphuma kokunciphisa imali. umjikelo, kunye nokusasazeka kwemiqobo yokhuselo lorhwebo kumhlaba jikelele kuya kuqhubeka nokucinezela imeko yangaphakathi neyangaphandle, kwaye isantya sokukhula kulindeleke ukuba siqhubeke sihla kwikota yesine.

Ngaloo ndlela, izinga lokukhula kwe-macroeconomic yasekhaya liya kuqhubeka lisebenza phantsi kohlobo lwe-L kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka, ngelixa iindawo ezikhulayo azanelanga ukuxhasa imfuno esebenzayo yokuthatha inxalenye enkulu. Ukungalingani kwesakhiwo sommandla wendabuko kunzima ukuguqulwa ngokufanelekileyo kwixesha elifutshane. Umjikelo wokupholisa uwonke wamashishini athile kushishino lwemichiza uya kuba kumjikelo wokupholisa, oya kuchaphazela idatha yexabiso elongezelelweyo kwimizi-mveliso iya kuba buthathaka. Ngaphandle kwamandla amatsha e-kinetic kunye nokukhula kokusetyenziswa kwamanqaku aphezulu, izinga lokukhula kotyalo-mali kwishishini lemichiza liya kuqhubeka ukuhla kwaye kunokwenzeka ukuba liqhubeke likhula kakubi. Kwikota yesine, kulindeleke ukuba ugxininiso lwemarike yeemveliso zeekhemikhali luya kufuna inkxaso ephantsi, kwaye kunokwenzeka ukuba inkqubo emnyama iya kuba ngowokuqala, kwaye ixesha lokugcinwa ngokubanzi kulindeleke ukuba libe lide, umjikelo olindelekileyo weshishini. Izibonelelo kushishino ziya kuncipha ngamaxesha athile, kwaye iqamza lexabiso kwamanye amashishini liya kuba ligwebu legwebu kwaye isithuba senzuzo ephezulu yobuxoki iya kuba yimbuyekezo esengqiqweni, kwaye icinezelwe ngokusebenzayo.